Key numbers
Projected total net worth = home equity + investments + cash reserve. Nominal dollars.Strategy comparison
Green = best in column. Win probability appears after a Monte Carlo run.Projections
Click legend chips (or press 1–4) to toggle strategies on every chart. Hover for exact values.Monte Carlo
Randomizes stock returns, appreciation, vacancy, rent growth, inflation and surprise repairs.
Not run yet for these assumptions.
Distribution of net worth outcomes
Break-even analysis
The single assumption value at which two strategies tie on 30-year net worth.Timeline
Major events across the strategies, from today.Decision summary
Generated from the numbers above — updates with every change.Model, not advice: taxes are simplified (see the notes in each assumption group), all dollars are nominal, and portfolio shortfalls are modeled as borrowing at the expected return. Built as the first module of a longer-term personal finance dashboard.